Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004214 0.004436 0.004663 0.004914 0.005185 0.005468 0.005786
2025-08-17 0.003890 0.004224 0.004583 0.004998 0.005467 0.005982 0.006595
2025-08-24 0.003632 0.004026 0.004460 0.004979 0.005584 0.006273 0.007125
2025-08-31 0.003427 0.003859 0.004347 0.004944 0.005659 0.006499 0.007571
2025-09-07 0.003241 0.003698 0.004223 0.004878 0.005682 0.006648 0.007918
2025-09-14 0.003080 0.003553 0.004106 0.004808 0.005686 0.006767 0.008223
2025-09-21 0.002978 0.003472 0.004058 0.004815 0.005781 0.006996 0.008674
2025-09-28 0.002810 0.003301 0.003892 0.004663 0.005663 0.006942 0.008744
2025-10-05 0.002727 0.003232 0.003846 0.004660 0.005732 0.007129 0.009143
2025-10-12 0.002689 0.003216 0.003864 0.004737 0.005908 0.007464 0.009763
2025-10-19 0.002605 0.003137 0.003799 0.004701 0.005927 0.007584 0.010084
2025-10-26 0.002531 0.003068 0.003743 0.004673 0.005956 0.007717 0.010425
2025-11-02 0.002456 0.002997 0.003682 0.004637 0.005972 0.007834 0.010754
2025-11-09 0.002431 0.002989 0.003705 0.004715 0.006149 0.008190 0.011469
2025-11-16 0.002371 0.002933 0.003660 0.004697 0.006189 0.008345 0.011879
2025-11-23 0.002309 0.002872 0.003607 0.004665 0.006205 0.008463 0.012236
2025-11-30 0.002240 0.002800 0.003536 0.004604 0.006175 0.008509 0.012474
2025-12-07 0.002174 0.002730 0.003464 0.004539 0.006137 0.008538 0.012684
2025-12-14 0.002137 0.002697 0.003443 0.004546 0.006204 0.008734 0.013189
2025-12-21 0.002050 0.002595 0.003323 0.004406 0.006043 0.008562 0.013042
2025-12-28 0.002014 0.002561 0.003298 0.004403 0.006091 0.008724 0.013494
2026-01-04 0.002004 0.002564 0.003323 0.004474 0.006258 0.009085 0.014329
2026-01-11 0.001961 0.002518 0.003279 0.004441 0.006257 0.009169 0.014659